Wednesday, March 7, 2012

Win rate and risk reward part 1


Trading system and the position of many sizes depending on what level you are and what your reward is victory for the risk ratio.
Statistic is quite simple huh?
Steve Cohen, billionaire hedge fund manager using simple statistics as well. In a CNBC article: What Works Now SAC Capital, Cohen said:
We keep score with simple statistics, such as baseball. You obviously want your winning trade to make money more than you lose losing trade.The article then proceeded to say that the merchant is evaluated based on two basic dimensions: their win / loss percentage and the relative size of their wins and losses.
There are different flow systems that you can develop and trade. Some of them have a high winrate of 70% + but low risk reward ratio with the winner only made about 1-3 times what you bet.
Other stream order system has a low level of win / average around 30-60%, but the risk reward ratio is very high with the winner to make more than 4 times what you bet.
Then there was the remarkable trading system that has a high winrates SECOND appreciation for the risk ratio. They are the ones where you can go to jugularis on.Soros knew about this when he broke the Bank of England and take full advantage of both high perceived win percentage and high yield potential.
There are important differences between each of the trading system you need to know. There are certain market principles that if you try to challenge them, the market will only destroy you by giving you a lot of damage, loss, or blow your account.
Win High Level, Low Reward for Risk System
Listed system types can be listed with the percentage of low risk, or risk a high percentage. Because trading is a high winrate, they can not happen often. Therefore, if you choose to trade only with the percentage of low risk, you may not get the most bang for your buck.
Also because they take the risk reward ratio is low, the percentage of their business with low risk will not make you much money.
For example, say you have a high winrate, low appreciation of the risk ratio with 90% winrate, the risk-reward ratio of 1:1.
If you only trade the system with a 0.50% risk per trade, then you only make a maximum of 0.50% per trade. You can not make more than that in the trade as a reward system for low risk ratio ratio. The strength of this system is not in the business of winning. This strength in a large number of commercial consecutive win.Consecutive profit.
Therefore, with this system, you may want to try to trade using the system at greater risk of a trade of 0.50%. For example, if you listed the same system with the risk of 10% per trade of 0.50%, then assuming the same series of trade and trade your performance will be much higher return.
Of course you run the risk of suffering a loss in the first trade down 10%, which is undesirable. But the triumph of high levels of the system should provide compensation for the next series of trade.
Trading system with a high win the desired level and is generally preferred because of low probability trade suffered consecutive losses.
This is the type of trading system that is usually used if you want to quickly grow from a five-digit account number to the range of six to one million dollars in coverage.Once you enter the range of millions of dollars of liquidity constraints and protection of your capital becomes more important and you are under the risk of a trade Ratchet.
When you have to take account of five to one million figure you do not want to bet too much per trade. You do not want to bet your lifestyle.
The only goal of using high leverage and high risk of a trade so get your account up to a high enough level where you can Ratchet the risk of a trade and still achieve a significant amount of money.
Low / Average Win Rate, High Reward to Risk Ratio
This is the type of trading system that most traders are trying to grow. Specific to your technical indicators or chart patterns traders are able to develop a system with about 30-60% winrate, but with a very large winners to compensate the loss of trade.
There's nothing wrong with any system type. I did the trading system as well.
Due to the lower level you win, you have the possibility of consecutive losing trades is much larger. Because chances are you suffer consecutive losing trades is greater, you MUST use a low risk trade.
Try to trade this system using a commercial high-risk will turn into a disaster. You can catch a good winner, but volatility is obstruction of hair.
Say you have a system with a winrate of 30%, and your winner is six times what you bet.
If you decide to trade using a risk of 10% per trade, then you may be lucky and catch the winner in your first trade. If you have your account up to 60%. If you catch the other side of the losing series in a row, then your account will begin to decrease 10% per trade. And because you only have win 30% level, you can have 3, 4, 5, or 6 consecutive losing trades. If the series winner lost first place before you, you can go down 50% from your account before you see your first winner.
That's why this system is designed to be traded with a low risk trade. You can only truly open up the potential of this system if you use a low risk trade.
Low to win the low risk level requires the total trade. That is the main rule.
High rate winch system should not require a high risk of total trade. You can easily trade a high level using the low-risk win a trade and still get significant numbers.However, if you truly want to open up the potential of high-value system to win, then you should set the pot in addition to capital and trade system with a high risk per trade.
High won the high risk level requires total per trade if you want to unlock their full potential.
Win High Level, High Reward to Risk Ratio
Types of trading systems are some of the coolest around. This is the kind you dream of trading in your career. This is the moment when you can go to jugularis on them.
This is the type of trading system where you can have 70% + stage win, but still have abnormally high reward to risk ratio with a potential yield of more than five times what you bet.
This is the type of trade where you can make 50%, 100%, or 200% in a single trade.
Types of trading systems are very rare and do not shoot that often signal. But when they do so, you should take full advantage of them.
Types of trading systems should not be listed with a high risk per trade. Well you can do trading with a low risk trade.
However, if you want to get the full potential of this trade you will need to use high risk per trade.

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